Session 5 - Developing new space weather tools: Bridging between the fundamental science and operations

Misha Balikhin (The University of Sheffield, UK), D. Shaun Bloomfield (Northumbria University, UK), Juan V. Rodriguez (University of Colorado CIRES), Didier Mourenas (CEA, DAM, DIF, Arpajon, France)
Tuesday 15/11, 11:00-13:00
Wednesd16/11, 10:00-13:00
Ridderzaal

The field of Space Weather has grown out of the fundamental subjects of solar terrestrial physics and space plasma physics. However, the most important impacts of Space Weather are not in advances in the fundamental problems of related branches of physics but in the development of operational tools that are able to provide the reliable services required by industrial and societal consumers/stakeholders. A substantial number of researchers that are involved in Space Weather have their background in fundamental science. While such a background is advantageous for the development of new space weather forecasting tools, it can also bias their views as to the desirable features of operational tools. For the transformation of a good forecasting/nowcasting space weather model into a successful operational tool it is crucial to take into account needs and requirements of industrial and other stakeholders. It is also important to disseminate recent advances in the fore(now)-casting of space weather to stakeholders in order to receive their feedback for future development. European funding, in particular via FP7 and Horizon 2020 programs, has led to the successful development of various space weather models and forecasting tools. The aim of this session is to provide a platform for stakeholders to express their needs and requirements and to the leading developers of space weather operational tools to explain the state of art and plans for further advances. Particular attention will be given to the limitations of space weather tools arising from fundamental science in fulfilling stakeholder requirements. Contributions from EU-funded Space Weather projects both from model developers and potential stakeholders are strongly encouraged. Presentations from model developers and stakeholders that are not involved in EU projects are also very welcome.


Poster Viewing
Wednesday November 16, 10:00 - 11:00, Poster Area

Talks
Tuesday November 15, 11:00 - 13:00, Ridderzaal
Wednesday November 16, 11:00 - 13:00, Ridderzaal

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Talks : Time schedule

Tuesday November 15, 11:00 - 13:00, Ridderzaal
11:00Requirements for “ideal” space weather forecasting toolsJackson, D et al.Invited Oral
11:25Requirements for the First U.S. National Weather Service Geospace ModelSinger, H et al.Invited Oral
11:50Forecasting the perfect storm Pitchford, D et al.Invited Oral
12:15VNC: Application of Physics and Systems Science methodologies to Forecasting of the Radiation Belt Electron EnvironmentWalker, S et al.Oral
12:3015 years of New Zealand Geomagnetically Induced Current observations - working towards operational hazard estimatesRodger, C et al.Oral
12:40Nowcast and forecast of Kp indexWintoft, P et al.Oral
12:50FLARECAST Development Infrastructure: A science-oriented data processing frameworkSoldati, M et al.Oral

Wednesday November 16, 11:00 - 13:00, Ridderzaal
11:00Space Weather Research at AFOSRMiller, K et al.Invited Oral
11:25From studying electron motion in the electromagnetic fields in the inner magnetosphere to the operational nowcast model for low energy (< 200 keV) electron fluxes responsible for surface charging Ganushkina, N et al.Invited Oral
11:50Data Assimilation for Prediction and Reanalysis of the Radiation BeltsShprits, Y et al.Invited Oral
12:10FLARECAST Science: A comprehensive database of solar flare predictors Georgoulis, M et al.Oral
12:25Sunspot Group Evolution and Flare ForecastingMccloskey, A et al.Oral
12:35Inverting the solar meridional flow and predicting the 11-yr cycle using advanced variational data assimilation techniquesHung, C et al.Oral
12:45Combining multiple observations into one single composite: toward new Total Solar Irradiance and MgII index compositesDudok de wit, T et al.Oral
12:55Highlights and results from the FP7 HELCATS (Heliospheric Cataloguing, Analysis and Techniques Service) projectHarrison, R et al.Oral


Posters

Wednesday November 16, 10:00 - 11:00, Poster Area
1Spatial and temporal properties of chorus emissions observed by THEMIS Shastun, V et al.e-Poster
2Modelling GIC Flow in the South Island Electrical Transmission Grid of New ZealandDivett, T et al.e-Poster
3A mid-latitude local geomagnetic index new scalingPalacios, J et al.e-Poster
4Refining AWDANet performance: a decade of whistlersKoronczay, D et al.e-Poster
5Simulating, cataloguing and forecasting the background solar wind conditions.Pinto, R et al.e-Poster
6Observations of Heliospheric Faraday Rotation of a CME Using LOFAR and Space-Based ImagingBisi, M et al.e-Poster
7Development of an Ionospheric Storm-time Index over South African RegionTshisaphungo, M et al.e-Poster
8Solar wind driven empirical model of electron plasma sheet densities and temperatures beyond geostationary orbit during storm timesGanushkina, N et al.p-Poster
9Transparent Predictive Models for Geomagnetic Indices: NARMAX Methods with a Case Study for Kp Index ModellingWei, H et al.p-Poster
10Electron Flux Models at GEO for GOES MAGED EnergiesBoynton, R et al.p-Poster
11Propagation of the solar wind from the Sun to L1Arber, T et al.p-Poster
12Overview on the Brazilian Space Weather (Embrace) ProgramDal lago, A et al.p-Poster
13Predicting AE indices using empirical modelsWik, M et al.p-Poster
14Multi-thermal Segmentation of Coronal HolesGarton, T et al.p-Poster
15A Catalogue of Geometrically-Modelled Coronal Mass Ejections Observed by the STEREO Heliospheric ImagersBarnes, D et al.p-Poster
16Space weather prediction using roubast dynamical models: identification, optimization, and risk analysisYatsenko, V et al.p-Poster
17New discoveries in the auroral polarisation, steps toward an operational space weather tool.Lilensten, J et al.p-Poster
18Monitoring geomagnetic disturbances: the relevance of temporal and spatial resolutionGuerrero, A et al.p-Poster
19Results of the application of INGV Oblique Ionograms Automatic Scaling Algorithm to the ionograms recorded by Ebro Observatory ionosondeScotto, C et al.p-Poster
20Ionospheric forecasting tools and services: comparative studies of foF2 and TEC storm-time response for further developments Tsagouri, I et al.p-Poster
21Modelling and monitoring the plasmasphere: towards an operational Space Weather tool - advances in the PLASMON projectLichtenberger, J et al.p-Poster
22A NeQuick-based topside electron density profile estimation for Autoscala programScotto, C et al.p-Poster
23Geomagnetically Induced Currents in the Irish Power Network during Geomagnetic StormsBlake, S et al.p-Poster
24Modeling Coronal Mass Ejections in the Inner Heliosphere using the Gibson-Low flux rope model with EUHFORIAVerbeke, C et al.p-Poster