STCE Newsletter

16 May 2016 - 22 May 2016

Published by the STCE - this issue : 27 May 2016.
The Solar-Terrestrial Centre of Excellence (STCE) is a collaborative network of the Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy, the Royal Observatory of Belgium and the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium.
Archive of the newsletters Subscribe to this newsletter by mail
1. ESWW13 - We have a date!
2. Roof tops on the plateau, Cosmic Rays and Wuthering Heights - STCE annual meeting
3. Cosmic Rays Workshop
4. PROBA2 Observations (16 May 2016 - 22 May 2016)
5. Review of solar activity
6. The International Sunspot Number
7. Review of geomagnetic activity
8. Geomagnetic Observations at Dourbes (16 May 2016 - 22 May 2016)
9. Review of ionospheric activity (16 May 2016 - 22 May 2016)
10. Future Events
11. New documents in the European Space Weather Portal Repository

ESWW13 - We have a date!


We are happy to announce that ESWW13 will take place from November 14 to 18, 2016 in Oostende, Belgium.
The deadline for submissions of contributions to sessions is delayed with one week: June 13 included.


http://www.stce.be/esww13/


Happy submission!



Roof tops on the plateau, Cosmic Rays and Wuthering Heights - STCE annual meeting


The 2016 edition of the STCE annual meeting takes place on Thursday June 9 and will lead you literally along Roof Top Science on the plateau. Places where you never have been before. Other highlights are the Cosmic Rays workshop, 10 years STCE and a Launch to Wuthering Heights.


Check it on https://events.oma.be/indico/event/9/


A preview


Cosmic Rays Workshop


Dourbes was the scenery for the workshop Cosmic Rays and Space Weather on May 17, 2016.
The participants were served a review of the history of cosmic ray monitoring given by a first hand source. The workshop continued with a discussion on neutron monitors and cosmic rays data. Cosmic rays that are able to reach the ground level are being captured by an array of tubes like on the picture.



This tube makes part of the neutron monitor that will be installed in Dourbes.


The cosmic rays community is doing efforts to validate a worldwide neutron monitor netwerk and to design a common and modern registration system. Scientists and users need easy access to the data. It would also be a step forward if the data is provided in a standard format, in high resolution and in real-time.


Besides this, aviation is for sure impacted by cosmic rays. Pioneering monitoring work has been done already in this field, but this could be extended much more. Space Weather forecast centers could set up or upgrade the already existing Cosmic Rays warning and forecast services. This would also make sense for manned space missions.


As one can see, a wide range of research opportunities are waiting to be explored.



The participants of the May 17 Cosmic Rays workshop.


more on https://events.oma.be/indico/event/10/

PROBA2 Observations (16 May 2016 - 22 May 2016)


Solar Activity


Solar flare activity fluctuated between very low and low during the week.
In order to view the activity of this week in more detail, we suggest to go to the following website from which all the daily (normal and difference) movies can be accessed:​
http://proba2.oma.be/ssa
This page also lists the recorded flaring events.

A weekly overview movie can be found ​here​ (SWAP week 321).
http://proba2.oma.be/swap/data/mpg/movies/weekly_movies/weekly_movie_2016_05_16.mp4


Details about some of this week's events, can be found further below.


Monday May 16




An eruption was observed by SWAP on the East limb of the Sun on 2016­May­16 at 05:13 UT
Find a movie of the events​ here (SWAP movie)
http://proba2.oma.be/swap/data/mpg/movies/20160516_swap_movie.mp4


Sunday May 22




An eruption was observed by SWAP on the north west limb of the Sun at on 2016­May­22 at
12:25 UT
Find a movie of the events​ here​ (SWAP movie)
http://proba2.oma.be/swap/data/mpg/movies/20160522_swap_movie.mp4

Review of solar activity



Solar activity was low. Active Region (AR) 2542 (Macintosh class:Cai; Mag. type:Beta) produced the largest flare, a C3.2 class flare, peaking at 16:03 UT on 15-May-2016. There were only two significant ARs on the solar disk last week; AR 2544 and AR 2546. AR 2542 rotated over the West limb on May 17. Both AR 2544 and AR 2546 showed low levels of activity, producing B and 3 C-class flares.



Solar protons have remained at background levels. The slightly elevated level on 16-May-2016 originates from a Westward directed CME (first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 16:00 UT on 15-May-2016), which did not interact with the Earth system.


No Earth directed, or significant Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were detected last week.

The International Sunspot Number



The daily Estimated International Sunspot Number (EISN, red curve with shaded error) derived by a simplified method from real-time data from the worldwide SILSO network. It extends the official Sunspot Number from the full processing of the preceding month (green line). The plot shows the last 30 days (about one solar rotation). The horizontal blue line shows the current monthly average, while the green dots give the number of stations included in the calculation of the EISN for each day.

Review of geomagnetic activity


The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 400 and 700 km/s over the past week. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 5 and 10 nT peaking on 21-May-2016. The Bz component has fluctuated between -10 and +10 nT throughout the week.




Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 0-5 (NOAA) and local K index 1-4 (Dourbes), but largely remained around the 2 and 3 levels. A large Northern polar coronal hole began the week in the central region, which slowly rotated across disk center and into the Western hemisphere throughout the week. The associated high-speed stream (HSS) increased solar wind speed speeds towards the end of the week. However, the solar wind speed only showed a small increase, causing the peak of 5 Kp on 21-May-2016.

Geomagnetic Observations at Dourbes (16 May 2016 - 22 May 2016)



Review of ionospheric activity (16 May 2016 - 22 May 2016)




The figure shows the time evolution of the Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) (in red) during the last week at three locations:
a) in the northern part of Europe(N61°, 5°E)
b) above Brussels(N50.5°, 4.5°E)
c) in the southern part of Europe(N36°, 5°E)
This figure also shows (in grey) the normal ionospheric behaviour expected based on the median VTEC from the 15 previous days.


The VTEC is expressed in TECu (with TECu=10^16 electrons per square meter) and is directly related to the signal propagation delay due to the ionosphere (in figure: delay on GPS L1 frequency).
The Sun's radiation ionizes the Earth's upper atmosphere, the ionosphere, located from about 60km to 1000km above the Earth's surface.The ionization process in the ionosphere produces ions and free electrons. These electrons perturb the propagation of the GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) signals by inducing a so-called ionospheric delay.


See http://stce.be/newsletter/GNSS_final.pdf for some more explanations ; for detailed information, see http://gnss.be/ionosphere_tutorial.php

Future Events


For more details, see http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/event/future


Space Weather REDI Bootcamp

Start : 2016-06-07 - End : 2016-06-17
SW REDI summer Bootcamp is a two-week free training in space weather, with the first week focusing on the fundamentals of space weather and the second week on intensive forecaster training, with alternative opportunities to discuss research topics with the CCMC and NASA GSFC scientists.
The program is ideal for undergraduate and graduate students interested in space weather forecasting or in space weather related research but is also beneficial for scientists, engineers, educators, mission operators, competitive high school students and all others seeking to gain some basic knowledge regarding space weather.
Website:
http://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/support/SWREDI/bootcamp/


The Scientific Foundation of Space Weather

Start : 2016-06-27 - End : 2016-07-01
Website:
http://www.issibern.ch/program/workshops.html


Global Modelling of the Space Weather Chain in Helsinki, Finland

Start : 2016-10-24 - End : 2016-10-28
This event brings together solar, heliospheric, magnetospheric, and ionospheric communities to discuss the current state and future challenges in global modelling of the entire space weather chain. Major developments in forecasting space weather, and understanding the effects of solar eruptions requires increased communication and collaboration of these often rather distinct communities. We welcome submissions from these modelling communities and also synergetic studies utilising both observations and numerical models.
Website:
https://pnst.ias.u-psud.fr/sites/pnst/files/global_modelling_space_weather_oct2016.pdf


Solar Orbiter Workshop 7: Exploring the solar environs in Granada, Spain

Start : 2017-04-03 - End : 2017-04-06
This event will be hosted by the Instituto de Astrofisica de Andalucia - CSIC. Please mind that on April 7th the 20th SWT meeting will take place at the same venue.
Website: Unkown

New documents in the European Space Weather Portal Repository


See http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository


STCE - Cosmic Rays workshop: A brief history of the cosmic ray monitoring at RMI

Presentation given at the Cosmic Rays workshop Check https://events.oma.be/indico/event/10/
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=602


STCE - Cosmic Rays workshop: Introduction and Research topics

Presentation given at the Cosmic Rays workshop check https://events.oma.be/indico/event/10/
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=603


STCE - Cosmic Rays workshop: The Neutronminitor database (NMDB) and its applications to space weather

Presentation given at the Cosmic Rays workshop check https://events.oma.be/indico/event/10/
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=604


STCE - Cosmic Rays workshop: GLE alerts as input for SEP forecasts

Presentation given at the Cosmic Rays workshop check https://events.oma.be/indico/event/10/
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=605


STCE - Cosmic Rays workshop: Cosmic rays and dosimetry at aviation altitudes

Presentation given at the Cosmic Rays workshop check https://events.oma.be/indico/event/10/
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=606


STCE - Cosmic Rays workshop: Radiation hazards for astronauts

Presentation given at the Cosmic Rays workshop check https://events.oma.be/indico/event/10/
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=607